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Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) stock analysis

WEAK BUY 13% confidence · analysed Oct 29, 2026

On Oct 29, 2026, our model rated Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) WEAK BUY with 13% confidence at a price of $227.98. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

Analysed price$227.98

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 53, close to the neutral 50 line, so momentum is balanced.

MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.

The price has slipped below its 50-day moving average but is still above the 200-day: a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend.

Volume is about normal (0.9x the 20-day average).

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.

The most recent swing high is $256.50 and the swing low is $156.09; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Price is sitting in a bullish order block, a zone where large buyers stepped in before.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 2.11, which looks expensive relative to its growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 10.8% and revenue growth of +13.3%.

In its latest quarter it earned $2.66 per share, which beat the $1.95 analysts expected, with revenue +13.3% year over year.

Wall Street's average rating is 1.6 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $271.83.

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 19, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.

Trade plan from the model

The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $227.98, a target of $235.22 (+3.2%) and a stop-loss at $216.39 (-5.1%).

That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.

The plan has a time limit: reassess by Nov 8, 2026 whatever the price does.

Entry$227.98
Target$235.22
Stop-loss$216.39
Reassess byNov 8, 2026

Research notes

ROST’s bull case is that new CEO James Conroy can narrow Ross’s store-productivity gap with TJX through better merchandising, marketing, and operations; UBS forecasts roughly 8.5% annual revenue growth through fiscal 2028 and set a $315 price target. The bear case is that recent comparable-sales momentum fades against tougher comparisons, while the stock’s forward P/E near 27 exceeds its industry average near 20, leaving valuation vulnerable if growth slows. A major recent catalyst was UBS’s Oct. 26 upgrade from Neutral to Buy and sharp price-target increase, following strong results that included 10% comparable-sales growth and an EPS beat partly helped by tariff refunds.

The model's one-paragraph read

Leans BUY — composite score +0.13 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 53.11, MACD bearish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 2.11, margin 10.8%, revenue growth 13.3%. Financial results: YoY revenue +13.3%, last EPS surprise +36.4%, next earnings 2026-11-19. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure, price retesting a bullish order block. FinGPT news read: positive. Internet research: ROST’s **bull case** is that new CEO James Conroy can narrow Ross’s store-productivity gap with TJX through better merchandising, marketing, and operations; UBS forecasts roughly 8.5% annual revenue growth through fiscal 2028 and set a $315 price target. The **bear case** is that recent comparable-sales momentum fades against tougher comparisons, while the stock’s forward P/E near 27 exceeds its industry average near 20, leaving valuation vulnerable if growth slows. A major recent catalyst was UBS’s Oct. 26 upgrade from Neutral to Buy and sharp price-target increase, following strong results that included 10% comparable-sales growth and an EPS beat partly helped by tariff refunds. Suggested levels: entry $227.98, target $235.22, stop-loss $216.39, exit by 2026-11-08 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).

Past ratings for ROST

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Oct 29, 2026WEAK BUY13%$227.98—

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

Recent news on ROST

Oct 29, 2026 · This discount retailer is catching up to its main rival under its new CEO, UBS says

The headline reads as positive (92% confidence from the FinBERT financial-language model), so the stock went through the full analysis. The broader analysis agrees with the good news.

Search all news on ROST →

Frequently asked questions

Is ROST a buy right now?

As of Oct 29, 2026, our automated model rates Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) WEAK BUY with 13% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

What is the price target for ROST?

The model's most recent plan targets $235.22 with a stop-loss at $216.39, from an entry near $227.98.

When does Ross Stores, Inc. report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 19, 2026.

What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?

A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.