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Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) stock analysis

SKIP 11% confidence · analysed Oct 30, 2026

On Oct 30, 2026, our model rated Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) SKIP with 11% confidence at a price of $106.36. That means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.

Analysed price$106.36

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 74, above 70, which is overbought: buyers have been very aggressive and a pause or pullback is common from here.

MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.

The price is above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of an uptrend.

Volume is about normal (1.1x the 20-day average).

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure: bullish structure intact, no fresh break.

The most recent swing high is $107.09 and the swing low is $87.05; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 1.05, which looks reasonably priced for its growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 23.3% and revenue growth of -8.9%.

In its latest quarter it earned $2.67 per share, which beat the $2.30 analysts expected.

Wall Street's average rating is 2.3 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $110.44.

The next earnings report is expected around Feb 8, 2027; prices often move sharply around earnings.

The model's one-paragraph read

No clear edge (SKIP) — composite score +0.11 (SKIP). Technicals: RSI 73.69, MACD bullish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 1.05, margin 23.3%, revenue growth -8.9%. Financial results: last EPS surprise +16.1%, next earnings 2027-02-08. Smart Money Concepts: bullish structure intact, no fresh break. FinGPT news read: positive. Reference price $106.36; no trade levels (SKIP).

Past ratings for ACGL

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Oct 30, 2026SKIP11%$106.36—

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

Recent news on ACGL

Oct 30, 2026 · Arch Capital Group Ltd. files an 8-K: material agreement

The company filed a material 8-K with the SEC. FinBERT reads the related text as neutral (0% confidence).

Search all news on ACGL →

Frequently asked questions

Is ACGL a buy right now?

As of Oct 30, 2026, our automated model rates Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) SKIP with 11% confidence: the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

When does Arch Capital Group Ltd. report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Feb 8, 2027.

What does a SKIP rating mean?

A SKIP rating means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.