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Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 17% confidence · analysed Sep 24, 2026
This analysis is from Sep 24, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Sep 24, 2026, our model rated Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) WEAK BUY with 17% confidence at a price of $31.77. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 40. Momentum is soft: below the neutral 50 line, but not yet oversold.
MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.
The price has slipped below its 50-day moving average but is still above the 200-day: a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend.
Volume is about normal (0.9x the 20-day average).
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure shows a bullish break of structure (BOS): price broke a recent swing high in the direction of the trend, which usually signals trend continuation.
The most recent swing high is $25.90 and the swing low is $22.62; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Fundamentals
The company reports a profit margin of 11.5% and revenue growth of +7.2%.
In its latest quarter it earned $0.80 per share, which missed the $0.81 analysts expected, with revenue +8.4% year over year.
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 29, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $31.81, a target of $32.61 (+2.5%) and a stop-loss at $30.56 (-3.9%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Oct 4, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.17 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 40.32, MACD bearish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: margin 11.5%, revenue growth 7.2%. Financial results: YoY revenue +8.4%, last EPS surprise -1.2%, next earnings 2026-10-29. Smart Money Concepts: BOS bullish (trend continuation). FinGPT news read: positive. Suggested levels: entry $31.81, target $32.61, stop-loss $30.56, exit by 2026-10-04 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for ALRS
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 17% | $31.77 | — |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
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Frequently asked questions
Is ALRS a buy right now?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our automated model rates Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) WEAK BUY with 17% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for ALRS?
The model's most recent plan targets $32.61 with a stop-loss at $30.56, from an entry near $31.81.
When does Alerus Financial Corporation report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 29, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.