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Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) stock analysis

SKIP 1% confidence · analysed Oct 14, 2026

On Oct 14, 2026, our model rated Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) SKIP with 1% confidence at a price of $37.98. That means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.

SectorConsumer Cyclical
IndustryRestaurants
Market cap6.66B
Analysed price$37.98

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 47, close to the neutral 50 line, so momentum is balanced.

MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.

The price is below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of a downtrend.

Volume is only 0.6x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure shows a bearish break of structure (BOS): price broke a recent swing low in the direction of the trend, which usually signals trend continuation.

The most recent swing high is $74.02 and the swing low is $44.58; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Price is sitting in a bullish order block, a zone where large buyers stepped in before.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 1.33, which looks reasonably priced for its growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 4.9% and revenue growth of +32.5%.

In its latest quarter it earned $0.33 per share, which beat the $0.30 analysts expected, with revenue +32.5% year over year.

Wall Street's average rating is 1.3 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "strong buy", with an average price target of $72.36.

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 4, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.

Research notes

The bull case remains strong unit growth and improving underlying demand: Q2 revenue rose 32.5% to $550.9 million, same-shop sales increased 5.8%, 48 shops opened, and management raised 2026 revenue guidance to approximately $2.1–$2.13 billion while targeting at least 185 new locations. The bear case is that heavy expansion and $350–$370 million of planned capital spending could pressure returns, while competition, labor costs, acquisition integration, and valuation remain risks. The major recent catalyst is the upcoming earnings report, with consensus expecting approximately $0.24 EPS and $550.4 million of revenue, implying year-over-year growth. Public fundamentals still support the prior positive view, but price action does not: BROS recently fell to a new 52-week low near $37.33 and traded around $37.24–$37.98, roughly flat to the prior $37.98 reference.

The model's one-paragraph read

No clear edge (SKIP) — composite score +0.01 (SKIP). Technicals: RSI 47.42, MACD bullish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 1.33, margin 4.9%, revenue growth 32.5%. Financial results: YoY revenue +32.5%, last EPS surprise +10.0%, next earnings 2026-11-04. Smart Money Concepts: BOS bearish (trend continuation), price retesting a bullish order block, price retesting a bearish order block. FinGPT news read: neutral. Memory: 1 prior look(s). Internet research: The bull case remains strong unit growth and improving underlying demand: Q2 revenue rose 32.5% to $550.9 million, same-shop sales increased 5.8%, 48 shops opened, and management raised 2026 revenue guidance to approximately $2.1–$2.13 billion while targeting at least 185 new locations. The bear case is that heavy expansion and $350–$370 million of planned capital spending could pressure returns, while competition, labor costs, acquisition integration, and valuation remain risks. The major recent catalyst is the upcoming earnings report, with consensus expecting approximately $0.24 EPS and $550.4 million of revenue, implying year-over-year growth. Public fundamentals still support the prior positive view, but price action does not: BROS recently fell to a new 52-week low near $37.33 and traded around $37.24–$37.98, roughly flat to the prior $37.98 reference. Reference price $38.13; no trade levels (SKIP).

Past ratings for BROS

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Oct 14, 2026SKIP1%$37.98—

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

Recent news on BROS

Oct 14, 2026 · Chip bellwether ASML says customers are already asking to place orders — for 2030

The headline reads as positive (87% confidence from the FinBERT financial-language model), so the stock went through the full analysis. The rest of the picture is mixed, so the headline alone is not enough for a clear call.

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Frequently asked questions

Is BROS a buy right now?

As of Oct 14, 2026, our automated model rates Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) SKIP with 1% confidence: the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

When does Dutch Bros Inc. report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 4, 2026.

What does a SKIP rating mean?

A SKIP rating means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.