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Church & Dwight Co Inc /De/ (CHD) stock analysis

BUY 41% confidence · analysed Oct 30, 2026

On Oct 30, 2026, our model rated Church & Dwight Co Inc /De/ (CHD) BUY with 41% confidence at a price of $106.00. That means most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside.

Analysed price$106.00

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 70, above 70, which is overbought: buyers have been very aggressive and a pause or pullback is common from here.

MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.

The price is above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of an uptrend.

Volume is about normal (1.3x the 20-day average).

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure shows a bullish break of structure (BOS): price broke a recent swing high in the direction of the trend, which usually signals trend continuation.

The most recent swing high is $105.37 and the swing low is $89.48; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Price is sitting in a bullish order block, a zone where large buyers stepped in before.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 2.98, which looks expensive relative to its growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 12.0% and revenue growth of +1.6%.

In its latest quarter it earned $0.89 per share, which missed the $0.90 analysts expected.

Wall Street's average rating is 2.3 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $104.89.

The next earnings report is expected around Oct 30, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.

Trade plan from the model

The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $106.00, a target of $112.74 (+6.4%) and a stop-loss at $101.61 (-4.1%).

That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 1.5 to 1: the potential gain is larger than the potential loss.

The plan has a time limit: reassess by Nov 20, 2026 whatever the price does.

Entry$106.00
Target$112.74
Stop-loss$101.61
Reassess byNov 20, 2026

Research notes

Church & Dwight’s bull case rests on resilient consumer-staples demand, innovation and share gains in THERABREATH, HERO, ARM & HAMMER cat litter and e-commerce, plus potential margin improvement from portfolio reshaping and productivity efforts. The bear case is that reported sales and EPS remain pressured by divestitures, commodity, freight and tariff costs, while elevated Touchland-related SG&A, amortization and stranded expenses weigh on profitability. The major near-term catalyst is its Q3 2026 earnings release scheduled for October 30 before market open; consensus called for roughly $1.58 billion of revenue and $0.90 EPS, implying slightly lower sales but bottom-line growth versus the prior year. At around $105, the stock’s recent rally leaves valuation roughly in line with some fair-value estimates, making earnings guidance and evidence of organic-growth acceleration particularly important.

The model's one-paragraph read

Leans BUY — composite score +0.41 (BUY). Technicals: RSI 70.45, MACD bullish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 2.98, margin 12.0%, revenue growth 1.6%. Financial results: last EPS surprise -1.1%, next earnings 2026-10-30. Smart Money Concepts: BOS bullish (trend continuation), price retesting a bullish order block, price retesting a bearish order block. FinGPT news read: positive. Internet research: Church & Dwight’s bull case rests on resilient consumer-staples demand, innovation and share gains in THERABREATH, HERO, ARM & HAMMER cat litter and e-commerce, plus potential margin improvement from portfolio reshaping and productivity efforts. The bear case is that reported sales and EPS remain pressured by divestitures, commodity, freight and tariff costs, while elevated Touchland-related SG&A, amortization and stranded expenses weigh on profitability. The major near-term catalyst is its Q3 2026 earnings release scheduled for October 30 before market open; consensus called for roughly $1.58 billion of revenue and $0.90 EPS, implying slightly lower sales but bottom-line growth versus the prior year. At around $105, the stock’s recent rally leaves valuation roughly in line with some fair-value estimates, making earnings guidance and evidence of organic-growth acceleration particularly important. Suggested levels: entry $106.0, target $112.74, stop-loss $101.61, exit by 2026-11-20 (21-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).

Past ratings for CHD

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Oct 30, 2026BUY41%$106.00—

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

Recent news on CHD

Oct 30, 2026 · Church & Dwight Delivers Strong Third Quarter Results

The headline reads as positive (95% confidence from the FinBERT financial-language model), so the stock went through the full analysis. The broader analysis agrees with the good news.

Search all news on CHD →

Frequently asked questions

Is CHD a buy right now?

As of Oct 30, 2026, our automated model rates Church & Dwight Co Inc /De/ (CHD) BUY with 41% confidence: most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

What is the price target for CHD?

The model's most recent plan targets $112.74 with a stop-loss at $101.61, from an entry near $106.00.

When does Church & Dwight Co Inc /De/ report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Oct 30, 2026.

What does a BUY rating mean?

A BUY rating means most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.