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KeyCorp (KEY) stock analysis
BUY 37% confidence · analysed Aug 31, 2026
This analysis is from Aug 31, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Aug 31, 2026, our model rated KeyCorp (KEY) BUY with 37% confidence at a price of $21.67. That means most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 31. Momentum is soft: below the neutral 50 line, but not yet oversold.
MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.
The price has slipped below its 50-day moving average but is still above the 200-day: a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend.
Volume is only 0.1x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.
The most recent swing high is $22.89 and the swing low is $18.55; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Price is sitting in a bullish order block, a zone where large buyers stepped in before.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 1.64, which looks reasonably priced for its growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 27.5% and revenue growth of +10.1%.
In its latest quarter it earned $0.44 per share, which beat the $0.42 analysts expected.
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 20, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $21.70, a target of $22.77 (+4.9%) and a stop-loss at $20.94 (-3.5%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 1.4 to 1: the potential gain is not much bigger than the loss, so the setup is marginal.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 21, 2026 whatever the price does.
Research notes
Keysight Technologies (KEYS) has a strong bull case built on accelerating demand from AI infrastructure, advanced wireless, and defense testing, with the latest quarter showing US$1.846 billion in sales, US$397 million in net income, and a raised Q4 2026 revenue outlook of US$1.93–1.95 billion. The bear case is that the stock still depends on continued AI capex strength, while tariffs, trade-related cost pressure, and any slowdown in AI data-center spending could pressure results and sentiment. A major recent catalyst was the August 2026 earnings update and guidance raise, which reinforced the near-term growth narrative; Wall Street sentiment is also constructive, with a Strong Buy** consensus and price targets implying further upside.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.37 (BUY). Technicals: RSI 31.26, MACD bearish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 1.64, margin 27.5%, revenue growth 10.1%. Financial results: last EPS surprise +4.8%, next earnings 2026-10-20. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure, price retesting a bullish order block. FinGPT news read: positive. Internet research: **Keysight Technologies (KEYS)** has a strong **bull case** built on accelerating demand from **AI infrastructure, advanced wireless, and defense testing**, with the latest quarter showing **US$1.846 billion in sales**, **US$397 million in net income**, and a **raised Q4 2026 revenue outlook of US$1.93–1.95 billion**. The **bear case** is that the stock still depends on continued AI capex strength, while **tariffs, trade-related cost pressure, and any slowdown in AI data-center spending** could pressure results and sentiment. A major **recent catalyst** was the August 2026 earnings update and guidance raise, which reinforced the near-term growth narrative; Wall Street sentiment is also constructive, with a **Strong Buy** consensus and price targets implying further upside. Suggested levels: entry $21.7, target $22.77, stop-loss $20.94, exit by 2026-09-21 (21-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for KEY
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | BUY | 37% | $21.67 | — |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
Recent news on KEY
- Oct 29, 2026: KeyBank: Why More Americans Are Switching Checking Accounts in 2026 (ACCESSWIRE)
- Oct 29, 2026: KeyBank's Key Secured Credit Card Program Surpasses 48,000 Client Graduations Since 2019 (PR Newswire)
- Oct 29, 2026: KEYCORP TO PRESENT AT THE BANCANALYSTS ASSOCIATION OF BOSTON CONFERENCE (PR Newswire)
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Frequently asked questions
Is KEY a buy right now?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our automated model rates KeyCorp (KEY) BUY with 37% confidence: most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for KEY?
The model's most recent plan targets $22.77 with a stop-loss at $20.94, from an entry near $21.70.
When does KeyCorp report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 20, 2026.
What does a BUY rating mean?
A BUY rating means most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.