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Lear Corp (LEA) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 21% confidence · analysed Sep 16, 2026
This analysis is from Sep 16, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Sep 16, 2026, our model rated Lear Corp (LEA) WEAK BUY with 21% confidence at a price of $128.52. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 58, showing healthy upward momentum without being stretched.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price has slipped below its 50-day moving average but is still above the 200-day: a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend.
Volume is only 0.2x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.
The most recent swing high is $140.33 and the swing low is $111.81; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Price is sitting in a bullish order block, a zone where large buyers stepped in before.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 0.36, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 2.3% and revenue growth of +3.0%.
In its latest quarter it earned $4.28 per share, which beat the $3.98 analysts expected, with revenue +3.0% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 2.4 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $148.71.
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 22, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $124.68, a target of $130.03 (+4.3%) and a stop-loss at $117.87 (-5.5%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.8 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 26, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.21 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 57.74, MACD bullish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.36, margin 2.3%, revenue growth 3.0%. Financial results: YoY revenue +3.0%, last EPS surprise +7.5%, next earnings 2026-10-22. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure, price retesting a bullish order block, price retesting a bearish order block, sitting inside an unfilled bullish fair value gap. FinGPT news read: positive. Memory: 1 prior look(s); 100% of directional calls matched later price. Suggested levels: entry $124.68, target $130.03, stop-loss $117.87, exit by 2026-09-26 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for LEA
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 21% | $128.52 | — | |
| Sep 1, 2026 | SKIP | 9% | $124.75 | +3.0% |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
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Frequently asked questions
Is LEA a buy right now?
As of Sep 16, 2026, our automated model rates Lear Corp (LEA) WEAK BUY with 21% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for LEA?
The model's most recent plan targets $130.03 with a stop-loss at $117.87, from an entry near $124.68.
When does Lear Corp report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 22, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.