The company filed a material 8-K report with the SEC, so the model re-ran its full analysis. The rest of the picture is mixed, so the headline alone is not enough for a clear call.
Stocks › LYB
Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. (LYB) stock analysis
SKIP 8% confidence · analysed Oct 30, 2026
On Oct 30, 2026, our model rated Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. (LYB) SKIP with 8% confidence at a price of $65.37. That means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.
Analysed price$65.37
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 71, above 70, which is overbought: buyers have been very aggressive and a pause or pullback is common from here.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price is above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of an uptrend.
Volume is about normal (1.1x the 20-day average).
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.
The most recent swing high is $82.22 and the swing low is $51.45; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Price is sitting in a bearish order block, a zone where large sellers stepped in before, so upside may stall here.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 1.53, which looks reasonably priced for its growth.
The company reports a profit margin of -1.1% and revenue growth of +19.8%.
In its latest quarter it earned $4.30 per share, which beat the $3.42 analysts expected, with revenue +19.8% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 2.9 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "hold", with an average price target of $67.89.
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 30, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Research notes
LYB’s bull case is that shares remain inexpensive at roughly 0.7× sales, while strong recent cash conversion and execution of the company’s cash-improvement plan could support a valuation re-rating; Q2 adjusted EPS also significantly exceeded expectations. The bear case centers on cyclical chemical-market weakness, balance-sheet pressure, and management’s 50% dividend cut in early 2026, which signals financial strain despite improved cash generation. The major near-term catalyst is the Q3 2026 earnings release due before the October 30 U.S. market open, with consensus near $2.57 EPS and $8.87 billion revenue; investor expectations are elevated after the Q2 beat and several analyst target increases. Sentiment is mixed overall: the consensus rating is Hold, with an average price target around $71.50 versus recent trading near the mid-$60s.
The model's one-paragraph read
No clear edge (SKIP) — composite score +0.08 (SKIP). Technicals: RSI 71.06, MACD bullish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 1.53, margin -1.1%, revenue growth 19.8%. Financial results: YoY revenue +19.8%, last EPS surprise +25.7%, next earnings 2026-10-30. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure, price retesting a bearish order block. FinGPT news read: positive. Internet research: LYB’s **bull case** is that shares remain inexpensive at roughly 0.7× sales, while strong recent cash conversion and execution of the company’s cash-improvement plan could support a valuation re-rating; Q2 adjusted EPS also significantly exceeded expectations. The **bear case** centers on cyclical chemical-market weakness, balance-sheet pressure, and management’s 50% dividend cut in early 2026, which signals financial strain despite improved cash generation. The major near-term catalyst is the Q3 2026 earnings release due before the October 30 U.S. market open, with consensus near $2.57 EPS and $8.87 billion revenue; investor expectations are elevated after the Q2 beat and several analyst target increases. Sentiment is mixed overall: the consensus rating is **Hold**, with an average price target around $71.50 versus recent trading near the mid-$60s. Reference price $65.37; no trade levels (SKIP).
Past ratings for LYB
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | SKIP | 8% | $65.37 | — |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
Recent news on LYB
Oct 30, 2026 · Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. files an 8-K: earnings results; other material event
- Oct 30, 2026: LyondellBasell stock edges down on missing Q3 estimates amid weaker demand (Investing.com)
- Oct 30, 2026: LyondellBasell: Q3 Earnings Snapshot (Associated Press)
- Oct 30, 2026: LyondellBasell reports third quarter 2026 earnings (GlobeNewswire)
- Oct 30, 2026: LyondellBasell agrees to sell former refinery site in Houston (GlobeNewswire)
Frequently asked questions
Is LYB a buy right now?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our automated model rates Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. (LYB) SKIP with 8% confidence: the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
When does Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 30, 2026.
What does a SKIP rating mean?
A SKIP rating means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.