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Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) stock analysis

SELL 37% confidence · analysed Oct 29, 2026

On Oct 29, 2026, our model rated Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) SELL with 37% confidence at a price of $6.59. That means most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to downside.

Analysed price$6.59

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 41. Momentum is soft: below the neutral 50 line, but not yet oversold.

MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.

The price is below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of a downtrend.

Volume is only 0.5x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.

The most recent swing high is $11.26 and the swing low is $6.47; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 0.21, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.

The company reports a profit margin of -201.5% and revenue growth of +0.4%.

In its latest quarter it earned $0.11 per share, which beat the $0.10 analysts expected, with revenue +0.4% year over year.

Wall Street's average rating is 2.3 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $11.11.

Trade plan from the model

The model's short / bearish plan uses an entry near $6.60, a target of $5.52 (-16.4%) and a stop-loss at $7.38 (+11.8%).

That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 1.4 to 1: the potential gain is not much bigger than the loss, so the setup is marginal.

The plan has a time limit: reassess by Nov 19, 2026 whatever the price does.

Entry$6.60
Target$5.52
Stop-loss$7.38
Reassess byNov 19, 2026

Research notes

Mobileye’s bull case is improving EyeQ demand, rising shipments, higher-content ADAS/SuperVision wins, Chinese OEM exports, and advancing robotaxi/robotics programs; Q3 adjusted operating income rose 20% year over year and FY2026 guidance increased. The bear case centers on automakers shifting toward centralized-compute platforms, potential Nvidia competition, Volkswagen concentration, China-related pressure, weak pricing power, and limited proof that advanced products can generate durable margins. The major catalyst today is the Q3 update: Mobileye raised the midpoint of its FY2026 revenue outlook by 1%, citing stronger SuperVision deliveries and improved operating expectations. Despite that update, the stock remains near its 52-week low after recent analyst downgrades, leaving investor focus on whether higher-content ADAS can translate into sustained margin expansion.

The model's one-paragraph read

Leans SELL / avoid — composite score -0.37 (SELL). Technicals: RSI 41.43, MACD bearish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.21, margin -201.5%, revenue growth 0.4%. Financial results: YoY revenue +0.4%, last EPS surprise +10.0%. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure. FinGPT news read: neutral. Internet research: Mobileye’s **bull case** is improving EyeQ demand, rising shipments, higher-content ADAS/SuperVision wins, Chinese OEM exports, and advancing robotaxi/robotics programs; Q3 adjusted operating income rose 20% year over year and FY2026 guidance increased. The **bear case** centers on automakers shifting toward centralized-compute platforms, potential Nvidia competition, Volkswagen concentration, China-related pressure, weak pricing power, and limited proof that advanced products can generate durable margins. The major catalyst today is the Q3 update: Mobileye raised the midpoint of its FY2026 revenue outlook by 1%, citing stronger SuperVision deliveries and improved operating expectations. Despite that update, the stock remains near its 52-week low after recent analyst downgrades, leaving investor focus on whether higher-content ADAS can translate into sustained margin expansion. Suggested levels: entry $6.6, target $5.52, stop-loss $7.38, exit by 2026-11-19 (21-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).

Past ratings for MBLY

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Oct 29, 2026SELL37%$6.59—

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

Recent news on MBLY

Oct 29, 2026 · Mobileye Beats And Nudges Outlook Higher Again, But An Israeli R&D Credit And Low-Margin Revenue Are Doing Much Of The Lifting

The headline reads as positive (86% confidence from the FinBERT financial-language model), so the stock went through the full analysis. Despite the positive headline, the broader picture leans negative: good news does not always mean a good trade.

Search all news on MBLY →

Frequently asked questions

Is MBLY a buy right now?

As of Oct 29, 2026, our automated model rates Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) SELL with 37% confidence: most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to downside. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

What is the price target for MBLY?

The model's most recent plan targets $5.52 with a stop-loss at $7.38, from an entry near $6.60.

What does a SELL rating mean?

A SELL rating means most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to downside.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.