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Microchip Technology Incorporat (MCHP) stock analysis

WEAK BUY 15% confidence · analysed Sep 8, 2026

This analysis is from Sep 8, 2026 and may be out of date.

On Sep 8, 2026, our model rated Microchip Technology Incorporat (MCHP) WEAK BUY with 15% confidence at a price of $74.17. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

SectorTechnology
IndustrySemiconductors
Market cap40.27B
Analysed price$74.17

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 33. Momentum is soft: below the neutral 50 line, but not yet oversold.

MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.

The price is below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of a downtrend.

Volume is about normal (0.9x the 20-day average).

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.

The most recent swing high is $104.75 and the swing low is $47.28; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Price is sitting in a bearish order block, a zone where large sellers stepped in before, so upside may stall here.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 0.22, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 9.3% and revenue growth of +38.0%.

In its latest quarter it earned $0.76 per share, which beat the $0.70 analysts expected, with revenue +38.0% year over year.

Wall Street's average rating is 1.5 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $108.64.

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 5, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.

Trade plan from the model

The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $74.07, a target of $76.74 (+3.6%) and a stop-loss at $69.80 (-5.8%).

That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.

The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 18, 2026 whatever the price does.

Entry$74.07
Target$76.74
Stop-loss$69.80
Reassess bySep 18, 2026

The model's one-paragraph read

Leans BUY — composite score +0.15 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 33.19, MACD bullish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.22, margin 9.3%, revenue growth 38.0%. Financial results: YoY revenue +38.0%, last EPS surprise +8.6%, next earnings 2026-11-05. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure, price retesting a bearish order block. FinGPT news read: positive. Suggested levels: entry $74.07, target $76.74, stop-loss $69.8, exit by 2026-09-18 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).

Past ratings for MCHP

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Sep 8, 2026WEAK BUY15%$74.17—

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

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Frequently asked questions

Is MCHP a buy right now?

As of Sep 8, 2026, our automated model rates Microchip Technology Incorporat (MCHP) WEAK BUY with 15% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

What is the price target for MCHP?

The model's most recent plan targets $76.74 with a stop-loss at $69.80, from an entry near $74.07.

When does Microchip Technology Incorporat report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 5, 2026.

What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?

A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.