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Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG) stock analysis

WEAK BUY 20% confidence · analysed Oct 31, 2026

On Oct 31, 2026, our model rated Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG) WEAK BUY with 20% confidence at a price of $9.66. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

Analysed price$9.66

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 30, below 30, which is oversold territory: sellers have pushed hard recently. Oversold stocks often bounce, but they can stay weak for a while.

MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.

The price has slipped below its 50-day moving average but is still above the 200-day: a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend.

Volume is about normal (1.1x the 20-day average).

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.

The most recent swing high is $10.28 and the swing low is $7.54; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Price is sitting in a bullish order block, a zone where large buyers stepped in before.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 1.08, which looks reasonably priced for its growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 29.1% and revenue growth of +35.0%.

In its latest quarter it earned $0.22 per share, which beat the $0.17 analysts expected, with revenue +35.7% year over year.

Wall Street's average rating is 2.0 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $11.64.

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 13, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.

Trade plan from the model

The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $9.66, a target of $10.03 (+3.8%) and a stop-loss at $9.16 (-5.2%).

That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.7 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.

The plan has a time limit: reassess by Nov 10, 2026 whatever the price does.

Entry$9.66
Target$10.03
Stop-loss$9.16
Reassess byNov 10, 2026

The model's one-paragraph read

Leans BUY — composite score +0.20 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 29.52, MACD bearish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 1.08, margin 29.1%, revenue growth 35.0%. Financial results: YoY revenue +35.7%, last EPS surprise +29.4%, next earnings 2026-11-13. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure, price retesting a bullish order block, sitting inside an unfilled bearish fair value gap. FinGPT news read: positive. Suggested levels: entry $9.66, target $10.03, stop-loss $9.16, exit by 2026-11-10 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).

Past ratings for MFG

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Oct 31, 2026WEAK BUY20%$9.66—

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

Recent news on MFG

Oct 31, 2026 · BOJ speeds up ETF sales, potentially boosting funding for Takaichis plans

FinBERT, a financial-language model, scores this headline as positive (95% confidence). That is the news tone only — not the full stock rating.

Search all news on MFG →

Frequently asked questions

Is MFG a buy right now?

As of Oct 31, 2026, our automated model rates Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG) WEAK BUY with 20% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

What is the price target for MFG?

The model's most recent plan targets $10.03 with a stop-loss at $9.16, from an entry near $9.66.

When does Mizuho Financial Group Inc report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 13, 2026.

What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?

A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.