Matador Resources Co (MTDR) stock analysis

On Oct 1, 2026, our model rated Matador Resources Co (MTDR) WEAK BUY with 17% confidence at a price of $52.72. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 28, below 30, which is oversold territory: sellers have pushed hard recently. Oversold stocks often bounce, but they can stay weak for a while.

MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.

The price has slipped below its 50-day moving average but is still above the 200-day: a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend.

Volume is only 0.3x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.

The most recent swing high is $65.88 and the swing low is $35.98; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Price is sitting in a bearish order block, a zone where large sellers stepped in before, so upside may stall here.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 0.59, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 18.8% and revenue growth of +26.8%.

In its latest quarter it earned $2.61 per share, which beat the $2.09 analysts expected, with revenue +26.8% year over year.

Wall Street's average rating is 1.4 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "strong buy", with an average price target of $70.05.

The next earnings report is expected around Oct 27, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.

Trade plan from the model

The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $52.72, a target of $55.52 (+5.3%) and a stop-loss at $48.42 (-8.2%).

That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.7 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.

The plan has a time limit: reassess by Oct 11, 2026 whatever the price does.

The model's one-paragraph read

Leans BUY — composite score +0.17 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 27.77, MACD bearish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.59, margin 18.8%, revenue growth 26.8%. Financial results: YoY revenue +26.8%, last EPS surprise +24.9%, next earnings 2026-10-27. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure, price retesting a bearish order block. FinGPT news read: positive. Memory: 24 prior look(s); 10% of directional calls matched later price. Suggested levels: entry $52.72, target $55.52, stop-loss $48.42, exit by 2026-10-11 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).

Past ratings for MTDR

Of the last 5 directional calls on MTDR, 0 pointed the right way by the most recent analysis (0%). Past calls do not guarantee future results.

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

Other Energy stocks we cover

MUR · NAT · NE · NOG · OIS · OKE · OVV · PAGP · PBR · PSX · REPX · SLB

Frequently asked questions

Is MTDR a buy right now?

As of Oct 1, 2026, our automated model rates Matador Resources Co (MTDR) WEAK BUY with 17% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

What is the price target for MTDR?

The model's most recent plan targets $55.52 with a stop-loss at $48.42, from an entry near $52.72.

When does Matador Resources Co report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Oct 27, 2026.

What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?

A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.