Stocks › MTZ
MasTec, Inc. (MTZ) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 16% confidence · analysed Sep 17, 2026
This analysis is from Sep 17, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Sep 17, 2026, our model rated MasTec, Inc. (MTZ) WEAK BUY with 16% confidence at a price of $213.56. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 29, below 30, which is oversold territory: sellers have pushed hard recently. Oversold stocks often bounce, but they can stay weak for a while.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price is below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of a downtrend.
Volume is about normal (1.4x the 20-day average).
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.
The most recent swing high is $441.43 and the swing low is $182.34; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 0.69, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 3.1% and revenue growth of +23.4%.
In its latest quarter it earned $2.22 per share, which missed the $2.23 analysts expected, with revenue +23.4% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 1.2 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "strong buy", with an average price target of $416.95.
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 29, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $211.15, a target of $225.46 (+6.8%) and a stop-loss at $188.24 (-10.9%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 27, 2026 whatever the price does.
Research notes
MasTec’s bull case remains intact: recent reporting points to an 18-month record backlog of $21.4 billion, up 30% year over year, with strength in Clean Energy, Infrastructure, and Power Delivery, and analysts still rate the stock a Moderate Buy with an average target around $422. The bear case is still valuation and execution risk: the shares remain well below the 52-week high, but they also trade above some fair-value estimates, while recent earnings showed strong revenue growth alongside a slight EPS miss and down-trending 2026 estimates. A recent catalyst is the stock’s sharp selloff, including a 4.5% drop intraday today and a 5.3% drop earlier in the week, even as institutional buying and company-specific momentum in backlog remain supportive. Overall, the latest public information and price action only partly agree with the prior positive view: the fundamental bull case is still there, but near-term trading has turned weaker and more cautious than before.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.16 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 28.61, MACD bullish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.69, margin 3.1%, revenue growth 23.4%. Financial results: YoY revenue +23.4%, last EPS surprise -0.4%, next earnings 2026-10-29. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure. FinGPT news read: neutral. Memory: 2 prior look(s); 0% of directional calls matched later price. Internet research: MasTec’s bull case remains intact: recent reporting points to an 18-month record backlog of $21.4 billion, up 30% year over year, with strength in Clean Energy, Infrastructure, and Power Delivery, and analysts still rate the stock a **Moderate Buy** with an average target around $422. The bear case is still valuation and execution risk: the shares remain well below the 52-week high, but they also trade above some fair-value estimates, while recent earnings showed strong revenue growth alongside a slight EPS miss and down-trending 2026 estimates. A recent catalyst is the stock’s sharp selloff, including a 4.5% drop intraday today and a 5.3% drop earlier in the week, even as institutional buying and company-specific momentum in backlog remain supportive. Overall, the latest public information and price action only partly agree with the prior positive view: the fundamental bull case is still there, but near-term trading has turned weaker and more cautious than before. Suggested levels: entry $211.15, target $225.46, stop-loss $188.24, exit by 2026-09-27 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for MTZ
Of the last 2 directional calls on MTZ, 0 pointed the right way by the most recent analysis (0%). Past calls do not guarantee future results.
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 16% | $213.56 | — | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 20% | $230.46 | -7.3% | ✘ wrong direction |
| Sep 15, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 18% | $225.15 | -5.1% | ✘ wrong direction |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
Other Industrials stocks we cover
NSP · OTIS · PANL · PBI · PH · PKOH · PPHC · PWR · RHI · ROK · RRX · RSG
Frequently asked questions
Is MTZ a buy right now?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our automated model rates MasTec, Inc. (MTZ) WEAK BUY with 16% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for MTZ?
The model's most recent plan targets $225.46 with a stop-loss at $188.24, from an entry near $211.15.
When does MasTec, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 29, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.