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Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) stock analysis

BUY 40% confidence · analysed Oct 13, 2026

On Oct 13, 2026, our model rated Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) BUY with 40% confidence at a price of $91.17. That means most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside.

Analysed price$91.17

Trade plan from the model

The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $91.17, a target of $105.11 (+15.3%) and a stop-loss at $81.78 (-10.3%).

That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 1.5 to 1: the potential gain is not much bigger than the loss, so the setup is marginal.

The plan has a time limit: reassess by Oct 28, 2026 whatever the price does.

Entry$91.17
Target$105.11
Stop-loss$81.78
Reassess byOct 28, 2026

The model's one-paragraph read

Leans BUY — composite score +0.40 (BUY). Technicals: RSI 78.34, MACD bullish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: margin 3.9%, revenue growth 56.2%. Financial results: YoY revenue +56.2%, last EPS surprise +51.0%, next earnings 2026-10-29. Smart Money Concepts: BOS bullish (trend continuation), price retesting a bearish order block. FinGPT news read: positive. Internet research: PBF’s **bull case** is that strong refining crack spreads, tight California fuel markets, favorable crude differentials, and the Martinez refinery’s return to full operation could sustain unusually strong earnings and cash flow; analysts have raised targets as a result. The **bear case** is that the stock has already surged roughly 200% year to date, leaving it vulnerable to profit-taking and a margin-driven correction if refining spreads normalize; valuation, reliability issues, future maintenance, higher feedstock costs, and decarbonization policy remain risks. The major recent catalyst is the combination of strong Q2 2026 results, debt reduction, Martinez’s recovery, and Washington’s rejection of reports of a 90-day diesel-export ban. Near term, investors are focused on PBF’s scheduled October 29 Q3 earnings report, while a new $4 billion revolving credit facility expands liquidity. Suggested levels: entry $91.17, target $105.11, stop-loss $81.78, exit by 2026-10-28 (exit before next earnings (2026-10-29) -- this signal doesn't price in that report).

Past ratings for PBF

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Oct 13, 2026BUY40%$91.17—

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

Recent news on PBF

Oct 13, 2026 · Tuesday's ETF Movers: CRAK, SLVR

The headline reads as positive (94% confidence from the FinBERT financial-language model), so the stock went through the full analysis. The broader analysis agrees with the good news.

Search all news on PBF →

Frequently asked questions

Is PBF a buy right now?

As of Oct 13, 2026, our automated model rates Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) BUY with 40% confidence: most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

What is the price target for PBF?

The model's most recent plan targets $105.11 with a stop-loss at $81.78, from an entry near $91.17.

What does a BUY rating mean?

A BUY rating means most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.