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Pagaya Technologies Ltd (PGY) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 17% confidence · analysed Sep 2, 2026
This analysis is from Sep 2, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Sep 2, 2026, our model rated Pagaya Technologies Ltd (PGY) WEAK BUY with 17% confidence at a price of $21.64. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 58, showing healthy upward momentum without being stretched.
MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.
The price is above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of an uptrend.
Volume is only 0.1x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 0.04, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 9.1% and revenue growth of +18.6%.
In its latest quarter it earned $1.07 per share, which beat the $0.72 analysts expected, with revenue +15.1% year over year.
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 10, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $21.72, a target of $23.27 (+7.1%) and a stop-loss at $19.29 (-11.2%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 12, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.17 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 57.91, MACD bearish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.04, margin 9.1%, revenue growth 18.6%. Financial results: YoY revenue +15.1%, last EPS surprise +48.6%, next earnings 2026-11-10. FinGPT news read: positive. Memory: 1 prior look(s); 75% of directional calls matched later price. Suggested levels: entry $21.72, target $23.27, stop-loss $19.29, exit by 2026-09-12 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for PGY
Of the last 4 directional calls on PGY, 3 pointed the right way by the most recent analysis (75%). Past calls do not guarantee future results.
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 17% | $21.64 | — | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 23% | $22.03 | -1.8% | ✘ wrong direction |
| Aug 21, 2026 | BUY | 56% | $20.24 | +6.9% | ✔ right direction |
| Aug 20, 2026 | BUY | 38% | $20.22 | +7.0% | ✔ right direction |
| Aug 19, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 33% | $20.23 | +7.0% | ✔ right direction |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
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Frequently asked questions
Is PGY a buy right now?
As of Sep 2, 2026, our automated model rates Pagaya Technologies Ltd (PGY) WEAK BUY with 17% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for PGY?
The model's most recent plan targets $23.27 with a stop-loss at $19.29, from an entry near $21.72.
When does Pagaya Technologies Ltd report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 10, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.