Stocks › SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 13% confidence · analysed Sep 8, 2026
This analysis is from Sep 8, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Sep 8, 2026, our model rated Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG) WEAK BUY with 13% confidence at a price of $209.44. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 25, below 30, which is oversold territory: sellers have pushed hard recently. Oversold stocks often bounce, but they can stay weak for a while.
MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.
The price has slipped below its 50-day moving average but is still above the 200-day: a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend.
Volume is only 0.7x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 4.58, which looks expensive relative to its growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 66.6% and revenue growth of +19.5%.
In its latest quarter it earned $1.73 per share, which beat the $1.57 analysts expected, with revenue +19.5% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 2.4 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $236.89.
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 2, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $208.41, a target of $211.99 (+1.7%) and a stop-loss at $202.68 (-2.7%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 18, 2026 whatever the price does.
Research notes
Bull case: Simon Property Group still looks like a high-quality mall REIT with resilient traffic, pricing power, and a healthy dividend profile; analysts on MarketBeat show a Hold consensus with a $225.27 average target, implying upside from recent trading levels. A fresh growth angle is Simon Media Network, launched in August 2026 to monetize first-party shopper data across more than 200 properties, and management also raised 2026 net income guidance to $6.47–$7.47 per share**.
Bear case: The main risks are interest-rate sensitivity, valuation pressure, and dividend sustainability concerns; GuruFocus noted SPG’s payout ratio at 1.14 and flagged the stock as about 7% overvalued** versus its GF Value estimate. Recent weakness also reflects broader REIT concerns tied to volatile rates and high Treasury yields.
Recent catalyst: The biggest recent catalyst is the August 2026 Simon Media Network launch plus the accompanying guidance raise**, which together shift the story from pure mall ownership toward higher-margin retail media monetization. On the other hand, the stock has also seen short-term pressure, including a multi-session pullback in late August/early September.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.13 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 25.43, MACD bearish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 4.58, margin 66.6%, revenue growth 19.5%. Financial results: YoY revenue +19.5%, last EPS surprise +10.2%, next earnings 2026-11-02. FinGPT news read: positive. Internet research: **Bull case:** Simon Property Group still looks like a high-quality mall REIT with resilient traffic, pricing power, and a healthy dividend profile; analysts on MarketBeat show a **Hold** consensus with a **$225.27** average target, implying upside from recent trading levels. A fresh growth angle is **Simon Media Network**, launched in August 2026 to monetize first-party shopper data across more than 200 properties, and management also raised 2026 net income guidance to **$6.47–$7.47 per share**. **Bear case:** The main risks are **interest-rate sensitivity**, valuation pressure, and dividend sustainability concerns; GuruFocus noted SPG’s payout ratio at **1.14** and flagged the stock as about **7% overvalued** versus its GF Value estimate. Recent weakness also reflects broader REIT concerns tied to volatile rates and high Treasury yields. **Recent catalyst:** The biggest recent catalyst is the **August 2026 Simon Media Network launch** plus the accompanying **guidance raise**, which together shift the story from pure mall ownership toward higher-margin retail media monetization. On the other hand, the stock has also seen short-term pressure, including a multi-session pullback in late August/early September. Suggested levels: entry $208.41, target $211.99, stop-loss $202.68, exit by 2026-09-18 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for SPG
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 13% | $209.44 | — |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
Other Real Estate stocks we cover
STWD · VICI · VMRK · AAT · AOMR · BRX · CCS · CSR · CUBE · CURB · CUZ · DX
Frequently asked questions
Is SPG a buy right now?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our automated model rates Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG) WEAK BUY with 13% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for SPG?
The model's most recent plan targets $211.99 with a stop-loss at $202.68, from an entry near $208.41.
When does Simon Property Group, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 2, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.