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Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) stock analysis

WEAK BUY 20% confidence · analysed Oct 14, 2026

On Oct 14, 2026, our model rated Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) WEAK BUY with 20% confidence at a price of $90.71. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

SectorIndustrials
IndustryTools & Accessories
Market cap13.70B
Analysed price$90.71

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 47, close to the neutral 50 line, so momentum is balanced.

MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.

The price has slipped below its 50-day moving average but is still above the 200-day: a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend.

Volume is only 0.7x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure shows a bullish break of structure (BOS): price broke a recent swing high in the direction of the trend, which usually signals trend continuation.

The most recent swing high is $90.58 and the swing low is $64.50; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Price is sitting in a bullish order block, a zone where large buyers stepped in before.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 1.39, which looks reasonably priced for its growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 4.1% and revenue growth of +0.4%.

In its latest quarter it earned $1.57 per share, which beat the $1.21 analysts expected, with revenue +0.4% year over year.

Wall Street's average rating is 2.5 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $101.09.

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 4, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.

Trade plan from the model

The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $89.42, a target of $93.41 (+4.5%) and a stop-loss at $84.10 (-5.9%).

That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.7 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.

The plan has a time limit: reassess by Oct 24, 2026 whatever the price does.

Entry$89.42
Target$93.41
Stop-loss$84.10
Reassess byOct 24, 2026

The model's one-paragraph read

Leans BUY — composite score +0.20 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 47.56, MACD bullish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 1.39, margin 4.1%, revenue growth 0.4%. Financial results: YoY revenue +0.4%, last EPS surprise +29.8%, next earnings 2026-11-04. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure, price retesting a bullish order block. FinGPT news read: positive. Memory: 3 prior look(s); 0% of directional calls matched later price. Suggested levels: entry $89.42, target $93.41, stop-loss $84.1, exit by 2026-10-24 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).

Past ratings for SWK

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Oct 14, 2026WEAK BUY20%$90.71—

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

Recent news on SWK

Oct 14, 2026 · Morgan Stanley tops estimates as equities trading revenue exceeds expectations by $909 million

The headline reads as positive (96% confidence from the FinBERT financial-language model), so the stock went through the full analysis. The broader analysis agrees with the good news.

Oct 14, 2026 · Morgan Stanley is set to report earnings — here’s what to expect

The headline reads as positive (94% confidence from the FinBERT financial-language model), so the stock went through the full analysis. The broader analysis agrees with the good news.

Oct 13, 2026 · Morgan Stanley Upgrades SLM Corporation - Preferred Stock to Overweight from Equal-Weight

The headline reads as positive (88% confidence from the FinBERT financial-language model), so the stock went through the full analysis. The broader analysis agrees with the good news.

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Frequently asked questions

Is SWK a buy right now?

As of Oct 14, 2026, our automated model rates Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) WEAK BUY with 20% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

What is the price target for SWK?

The model's most recent plan targets $93.41 with a stop-loss at $84.10, from an entry near $89.42.

When does Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 4, 2026.

What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?

A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.