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Toast, Inc. (TOST) stock analysis
BUY 43% confidence · analysed Nov 3, 2026
On Nov 3, 2026, our model rated Toast, Inc. (TOST) BUY with 43% confidence at a price of $33.53. That means most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 69, showing healthy upward momentum without being stretched.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price is above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of an uptrend.
Volume is 2.1x its 20-day average, so the latest move has real participation behind it.
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure shows a bullish break of structure (BOS): price broke a recent swing high in the direction of the trend, which usually signals trend continuation.
The most recent swing high is $31.05 and the swing low is $22.26; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Price is sitting in a bullish order block, a zone where large buyers stepped in before.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 0.23, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 7.1% and revenue growth of +23.1%.
In its latest quarter it earned $0.38 per share, which beat the $0.37 analysts expected, with revenue +23.1% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 1.8 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $38.81.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $33.53, a target of $37.88 (+13.0%) and a stop-loss at $30.83 (-8.1%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 1.6 to 1: the potential gain is larger than the potential loss.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Nov 24, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.43 (BUY). Technicals: RSI 69.13, MACD bullish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.23, margin 7.1%, revenue growth 23.1%. Financial results: YoY revenue +23.1%, last EPS surprise +2.7%. Smart Money Concepts: BOS bullish (trend continuation), price retesting a bullish order block. FinGPT news read: positive. Memory: 1 prior look(s); 0% of directional calls matched later price. Suggested levels: entry $33.53, target $37.88, stop-loss $30.83, exit by 2026-11-24 (21-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for TOST
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | BUY | 43% | $33.53 | — |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
Recent news on TOST
- Nov 3, 2026: Toast Misses The EPS Bar But Raises Guidance A Third Time As Slowing Payments Growth And A 'Very Modest' 2027 Margin Signal Complicate The Story (Earnings Whispers)
- Nov 3, 2026: Toast: Q3 Earnings Snapshot (Associated Press)
Frequently asked questions
Is TOST a buy right now?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our automated model rates Toast, Inc. (TOST) BUY with 43% confidence: most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for TOST?
The model's most recent plan targets $37.88 with a stop-loss at $30.83, from an entry near $33.53.
What does a BUY rating mean?
A BUY rating means most of the technical, fundamental, money-flow and news signals point to upside.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.