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White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 33% confidence · analysed Nov 4, 2026
On Nov 4, 2026, our model rated White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) WEAK BUY with 33% confidence at a price of $2,286.53. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 78, above 70, which is overbought: buyers have been very aggressive and a pause or pullback is common from here.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price is above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of an uptrend.
Volume is 1.6x its 20-day average, so the latest move has real participation behind it.
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure shows a bullish break of structure (BOS): price broke a recent swing high in the direction of the trend, which usually signals trend continuation.
The most recent swing high is $2,249.05 and the swing low is $1,987.00; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 0.81, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 37.7% and revenue growth of +22.5%.
In its latest quarter it earned $-2.99 per share, which missed the $1.16 analysts expected, with revenue +22.5% year over year.
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 5, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $2,286.53, a target of $2,409.27 (+5.4%) and a stop-loss at $2,186.57 (-4.4%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 1.2 to 1: the potential gain is not much bigger than the loss, so the setup is marginal.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Nov 4, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.33 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 77.75, MACD bullish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.81, margin 37.7%, revenue growth 22.5%. Financial results: YoY revenue +22.5%, last EPS surprise -357.8%, next earnings 2026-11-05. Smart Money Concepts: BOS bullish (trend continuation). FinGPT news read: positive. Suggested levels: entry $2286.53, target $2409.27, stop-loss $2186.57, exit by 2026-11-04 (exit before next earnings (2026-11-05) -- this signal doesn't price in that report).
Past ratings for WTM
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 33% | $2,286.53 | — |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
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Frequently asked questions
Is WTM a buy right now?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our automated model rates White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) WEAK BUY with 33% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for WTM?
The model's most recent plan targets $2,409.27 with a stop-loss at $2,186.57, from an entry near $2,286.53.
When does White Mountains Insurance Group report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 5, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.