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YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) stock analysis

WEAK BUY 15% confidence · analysed Nov 4, 2026

On Nov 4, 2026, our model rated YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) WEAK BUY with 15% confidence at a price of $44.81. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

SectorEnergy
IndustryOil & Gas Integrated
Market cap17.57B
Analysed price$44.81

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 27, below 30, which is oversold territory: sellers have pushed hard recently. Oversold stocks often bounce, but they can stay weak for a while.

MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.

The price is below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of a downtrend.

Volume is about normal (1.2x the 20-day average).

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.

The most recent swing high is $57.49 and the swing low is $44.02; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 0.10, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 9.8% and revenue growth of +55.3%.

In its latest quarter it earned $2.36 per share, which beat the $1.82 analysts expected, with revenue +41.2% year over year.

Wall Street's average rating is 1.8 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $62.16.

The next earnings report is expected around Feb 11, 2027; prices often move sharply around earnings.

Trade plan from the model

The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $44.81, a target of $47.36 (+5.7%) and a stop-loss at $40.73 (-9.1%).

That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.

The plan has a time limit: reassess by Nov 14, 2026 whatever the price does.

Entry$44.81
Target$47.36
Stop-loss$40.73
Reassess byNov 14, 2026

The model's one-paragraph read

Leans BUY — composite score +0.15 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 27.21, MACD bearish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.10, margin 9.8%, revenue growth 55.3%. Financial results: YoY revenue +41.2%, last EPS surprise +29.7%, next earnings 2027-02-11. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure. FinGPT news read: positive. Suggested levels: entry $44.81, target $47.36, stop-loss $40.73, exit by 2026-11-14 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).

Past ratings for YPF

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Nov 4, 2026WEAK BUY15%$44.81—

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

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Frequently asked questions

Is YPF a buy right now?

As of Nov 4, 2026, our automated model rates YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) WEAK BUY with 15% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

What is the price target for YPF?

The model's most recent plan targets $47.36 with a stop-loss at $40.73, from an entry near $44.81.

When does YPF Sociedad Anonima report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Feb 11, 2027.

What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?

A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.